Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.298139 3.487841 3.689678 3.921640 4.182438 4.468501 4.808685
2025-06-15 3.008584 3.265030 3.551967 3.900997 4.320120 4.815585 5.459208
2025-06-22 2.741058 3.029465 3.364073 3.788867 4.326274 5.002836 5.954859
2025-06-29 2.511382 2.812936 3.172355 3.643892 4.265847 5.091379 6.339386
2025-07-06 2.352176 2.665576 3.048147 3.565308 4.274796 5.266868 6.883688
2025-07-13 2.295962 2.638239 3.068253 3.671520 4.542079 5.848322 8.224425
2025-07-20 2.223529 2.583400 3.046136 3.715629 4.724917 6.340045 9.619298
2025-07-27 2.196738 2.584081 3.095442 3.862411 5.081724 7.202064 12.245466
2025-08-03 2.151891 2.556653 3.102597 3.946494 5.351699 7.991780 15.422879
2025-08-10 2.072449 2.477068 3.029978 3.900770 5.394349 8.350611 17.809654
2025-08-17 1.969408 2.359842 2.896313 3.747985 5.227685 8.225644 18.432617
2025-08-24 1.893646 2.276913 2.807540 3.659318 5.166209 8.323485 20.147396
2025-08-31 1.827198 2.209265 2.744755 3.620082 5.216126 8.760512 24.737232
2025-09-07 1.777389 2.162916 2.711034 3.626481 5.358230 9.502408 34.468099
2025-09-14 1.708559 2.086499 2.628078 3.543546 5.312165 9.738801 42.830062
2025-09-21 1.635911 2.001749 2.528325 3.424543 5.177125 9.682063 48.804352
2025-09-28 1.581730 1.941500 2.462988 3.360250 5.149497 9.956132 66.332116
2025-10-05 1.569528 1.941315 2.489636 3.459140 5.492364 11.660730 544.348328
2025-10-12 1.545238 1.922072 2.485031 3.501196 5.718347 13.187534 NaN
2025-10-19 1.540987 1.932096 2.527187 3.634120 6.198508 16.519171 NaN
2025-10-26 1.525238 1.923891 2.538999 3.710303 6.559666 20.112514 NaN
2025-11-02 1.488961 1.882885 2.494299 3.670319 6.593416 21.680317 NaN
2025-11-09 1.437245 1.816642 2.404868 3.534186 6.329974 20.535917 NaN